In a first for California’s elections, the Field Poll says turnout among the state’s ethnic voters was nearly equal to the participation among “white, non-Hispanic voters.”
The analysis, released today, is based on exit polling.
It shows that Latinos, Asian Americans and African Americans made up roughly 40 percent of the voters in the Nov. 6 election — mirroring the breakdown of registered voters statewide.
Ethnic voter participation has been on the rise since the 1994 election.
“The 2012 elections may prove to be a turning point in California politics – one that has been many years in the making – as the political might of the expanding ethnic voter population fully exerted itself in this year’s statewide elections,” the analysis states.
You can read the entire memo here, including a look at how the demographic changes could impact the Republican and Democratic parties.
A California Field Poll released this morning indicates that 1 million fewer voters will head to the polls today than they did in the 2008 presidential election.
The poll predicts 12.75 million Californians will participate in today’s election, compared to the 13.74 million who voted four years ago.
If the estimate proves true, that would equate to roughly 70 percent of all registered voters. Figures released last week show a record number of 18.2 million voters are registered statewide.
In Riverside County, the registrar is predicting a 75 percent turnout.
Two people you can be sure are casting a ballot: Rep. Mary Bono Mack and Democratic congressional challenger Raul Ruiz.
Bono Mack, a Palm Springs Republican, already cast her ballot by mail. Ruiz, an emergency room physician from Palm Desert, plans to vote when polls open at 7 a.m.
A Field Poll released this morning indicates that the two statewide initiatives — Proposition 28 and Proposition 29 — are poised to pass on Tuesday.
In a statewide survey, 50 percent of likely voters supported Prop 28 with only 28 percent opposing it. Another 22 percent of voters were undecided on the issue, which would amend the Legislature’s term limits.
The margin was closer when it came to Prop 29, which would raise taxes on cigarettes and other tobacco products to fund cancer research.
The survey found that 50 percent of voters endorsed the idea, but 42 percent opposed it. Another 8 percent were undecided.
The Field Poll survey started on May 21 and wrapped on Tuesday.
You can find more detailed results here.
And don’t forget to give your opinion of the two props this Tuesday. Polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
A Field Poll released this morning shows 59 percent of California’s registered voters support same-sex marriage.
That’s the highest approval level in the 35 years that the Field Poll has been asking state voters about the issue.
The same poll found 34 percent of voters disapprove and another 7 percent didn’t express an opinion.
“This division of sentiment is nearly a complete reversal of the findings from the first time the Field Poll began measuring Californians’ attitudes toward same-sex marriage in 1977,” officials noted in the release today. “At that time, 59 percent disapproved and 28 percent were in favor.”
California voters in 2008 passed Proposition 8, a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage.
Earlier this month, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit upheld a 2010 decision that said marriage is “a basic civil right that everyone — regardless of gender — should have.”
The ruling is being challenged, and experts believe the case will eventually reach the U.S. Supreme Court.